Revealing what would follow the scenario of changing Al-Maliki beforehand

In light of the prior “national” understanding of Iyad Allawi, the number of parliamentary seats of the assembly would reach to approximately 70 seats, according to the “Iraq Al-Qanon” website.

The “Union”, an abbreviation for the “Union of the national forces", will engage in confidential and open talks with the Sadrist bloc and the citizen, having one single obvious goal and its apparent title is “there is no third term” and “Yes to a partnership government”. However, the real goal is to nominate a minor Shiite personal that is not supported by one-third of the Shiite National Alliance, provided that the Sunni coalition guarantees 70 seats and the Kurdish coalition guarantees 60 seats; the remaining two-thirds to pass its name through the parliament.

The arrival of a “feeble” consensus president to the government will represent the most important strategic goal sought to by the Sunni - Kurdish alliance and behind them some countries in the Persian Gulf and Turkey, and this will have the following results:

1-    Passing the amnesty laws, abolishing the De-Ba’athification law, stopping the chasing and attacking of the terrorists, and rehabilitating those wanted by the Iraqi judicial council as Tariq Al-Hashemi, Ahmed al-Alawani and Al-Daini. Moreover, handing the Department of Defense or Interior over a Sunni extremist candidate, and passing a lot of laws and decisions that al-Maliki was preventing their implementation and this is the demand of the Sunni forces.

2-    Giving the Kurds in Kirkuk and in the disputed areas power, ensuring that the authority of the center would remain weaker than the regional authority, and maintaining the margin of the maneuver in cases of oil smuggling, balancing, and the border crossings revenues.... These are the demands of the Kurdish forces.

3-    Trying to keep the political and economic situation in Iraq fragile and this comes in favor of Turkey for the most part.

4-    Creating a political unreal balance, what means that is does not represent the realities of demography, what contributes to weakening the Shiites, who make up more than 65% of the total population of Iraq, and marginalizing them in favor of other minorities that their role are magnified and this is a strategic goal for the ruling Wahhabi gangs in Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

5-    The Shiite head of the government will always be in need of the satisfaction of the Sunni and Kurdish parties that contributed to his arrival and that controls his presence in office, and this means that he would be a bridge to pass their projects and their narrow partisan, sectarian, and nationalist interests at the expense of the country as a whole.

6-    The losers most in this scenario, which is being prepared, are the Shiites of Iraq. The most serious consequences would be chaos and broad security lawlessness, which will affect the majority of the provinces and would lead to the return of the militia activity in the Shiite areas, as well as the gangs of Al-Qaeda in the Sunni areas.